New data: 3.2M California renters can afford homeownership, yet 90% will remain renters — paying $107B in rent this year

By Nick J. Gouché

August 26, 2025

Despite California’s ongoing housing affordability crisis, there’s a hidden gold mine sitting right at the doorstep of millions of renters—one their landlords would rather they never discover.

In a recent press release, the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.) reported that nearly 25% of prospective homebuyers in 2025 can afford a median-priced condo or townhome at $670,000.

Let’s put that into perspective. California—the most populated state in the nation with more than 39 million residents—has over 13.4 million households. That means over 3.2 million families who are currently renting actually have the financial capacity to own a home.

Here’s the catch: C.A.R. also estimates that only 304,000 new homeowners will be created this year. That means of the 3.2 million families who can buy, nearly 90% will continue renting. And in doing so, they’ll pay a staggering $107 billion in rent—money that could instead be used to build equity, stability, and generational wealth.

“California renters who can afford to own a home will pay their landlords over $107 billion this year—when they could be using that money to build their own wealth.”
Nick J. Gouché, Founder of NOH Mortgage Group

At the same time, the market is experiencing the largest gap between homes for sale and buyers willing to buy in over a decade. This has motivated many sellers to create new incentives to help renters become homeowners. In other words—now is the time to get off the sidelines and into the game of wealth building through strategic homeownership.

Don’t Rent the Dream—Own It

This is exactly why we launched OWN CA LIVE 2025 & Beyond—a weekly virtual seminar designed to show California families how to break free from renting and step into homeownership. Our mission is simple: restore hope and trust in the American Dream by turning renters into owners, one family at a time.

✅ Whether you’re ready to buy now or preparing for the next 3 years, this is your chance to learn proven strategies, see real-life scenarios, and take your first step toward ownership.

👉 Register for OWN CA LIVE Here

Because the dream of owning a home isn’t dead. It’s waiting for you to claim it.

Sources: 
https://www.car.org/aboutus/mediacenter/newsreleases/2025releases/1qtr2025hai
https://www.realpha.com/latest-news/california-s-housing-market-ready-to-thrive-in-2025

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